Hewlett-Packard Co is making a move into the network equipment market by striking a $3.1 billion deal for 3Com Corp, in a major challenge to Cisco Systems Inc.
The deal is the latest sign that technology giants from IBM to Oracle Corp are increasingly encroaching in each other’s markets as they seek to become one-stop shops for computing, networking and data storage. Cisco itself this year pushed into the server market, of which HP is a major player.
HP, which also reported higher-than-expected preliminary earnings on Wednesday, said it would pay $7.90 per share for 3Com, a 39 percent premium over its closing price. The deal values 3Com at $2.7 billion excluding its net cash.
“Cisco and HP are going to compete more and more,” said Jayson Noland, analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co. “We’re headed to a world where each of these large companies can give you everything you want.”
By buying 3Com, HP will be competing with Cisco on a wider range of network equipment, including routers and switches. 3Com also has a large presence in China and can help HP expand sales into one of the world’s fastest-growing markets.
HP is already a dominant force in personal computers, IT services, servers and printers, with recurring revenue streams that have helped it during the economic downturn.
3Com, for its part, has been pushing into the large enterprise market outside China with its H3C brand, trying to take on giants like Cisco.
“We wanted to create a powerhouse in the networking industry,” said Marius Haas, senior vice president of HP’s ProCurve networking division, adding that the 3Com deal puts HP in a good position to compete against Cisco payday cash advance.
When asked for comment, Cisco said: “While Cisco has a healthy respect for all of our competitors, acquisitions in our industry only validate the fact that networking is becoming the platform for all forms of communications and IT.”
3Com has been an acquisition target before. In 2008, Bain Capital Partners and China’s Huawei Technologies tried to buy 3Com for $2.2 billion but failed to win approval from a U.S. government security panel. Huawei is a privately held company set up by a former Chinese army officer.
3Com shares jumped 35 percent to $7.66 in after-hours trading. They climbed over 5 percent on Wednesday ahead of the announcement. HP shares edged 0.8 percent lower to $49.61.
A rise in 3Com shares and call options before the offer was announced sparked talk that the news had been leaked, option traders and analysts said.
3Com would be HP’s fourth biggest acquisition ever. The Marlborough, Massachusetts-based 3Com has 5,800 employees and posted fiscal 2009 revenue of $1.3 billion, more than half of which came from China.
TECH DEALS GALORE
Worldwide tech mergers and acquisitions have totaled $109.1 billion this year, down 20 percent from year-to-date 2008, according to Thomson Reuters data.
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday is expected to reaffirm its intention to keep U.S. interest rates at ultra-low levels for a long time to support the economy, even as signs of recovery accumulate.
The U.S. central bank cut overnight rates close to zero percent last December and it has vowed to keep them there for an “extended period.” While some analysts think the Fed could start to tip-toe away from that pledge, most say it is too soon.
“Once they start removing that, that’s a real sign that they intend, within six months, to start raising rates,” said Deutsche Bank economist Torsten Slok. “But it’s just premature, looking at the economic numbers, to arrive at that conclusion.”
The Fed will issue a statement around 2:15 p.m. EST at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. Analysts expect the Fed to nod to modestly encouraging signs suggesting the economy is gaining strength, but still expect a cautious tone on policy.
Policy makers will need to take into account the economy’s faster-than-expected 3.5 percent annualized growth rate in the third quarter, which effectively signaled the end of the most painful recession since the 1930s. Suggesting further momentum, data on Monday showed manufacturing activity hit its highest level in 3-1/2 years last month.
Improved third-quarter corporate earnings have also fed optimism that the upturn can be sustained next year even after government help has dried up.
In an act underlining rising confidence in the recovery, billionaire investor Warren Buffet on Tuesday said his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc, agreed to purchase the nation’s largest rail company, saying it is poised to benefit from the recovery.
Fed officials in recent weeks, however, have sent the message that while the outlook has improved, the recovery is likely to be sluggish and needs continuing support.
Unemployment is expected to climb above 10 percent before the labor market improves, damping the consumer spending that accounts for around 70 percent of U.S. output. The banking system is still under pressure from loan losses, and credit remains tight.
“We have to think about our exit policy and are looking at it very carefully, but at the moment, that’s not our first order concern. At the moment, it’s policy accommodation,” Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans, a voter on the Fed’s policy-setting panel, said on October 22.
Other central banks are also wrestling with how best to spur growth and when to withdraw extraordinary measures to support their economies.
The European Central Bank is expected to keep rates on hold at a record-low 1 percent on Thursday, while there is a good chance the Bank of England will expand its large asset purchase program at a meeting the same day.
Most analysts at top U.S. banks expect the Fed to keep interest rates on hold until mid-2010 or later, although interest rate futures markets are pricing in an increase earlier in 2010.
(Editing by Leslie Adler)
U.S. factory workers at Ford Motor Co overwhelmingly rejected proposed concessions it has said it needs to stay competitive, while union workers in Canada on Sunday accepted cuts aimed at retaining jobs.
The Canadian Auto Workers union voted 83 percent in favor of an agreement that freezes wages for some 7,000 workers into September 2012 in exchange for protecting most factory jobs in Canada.
The CAW had announced the tentative pact with Ford on Friday and set a whirlwind weekend vote.
The win for Ford in Canada, which accounts for a little over 10 percent of its North American output, comes as its main union, the United Auto Workers, prepares to announce a stunning defeat for a similar proposal in the automaker’s home market.
A UAW vote in the United States has dragged on for two weeks to steadily building opposition from rank-and-file workers who have objected to giving Ford the same concessions already granted to rivals General Motors Co and Chrysler as part of their government-financed bankruptcies.
An official tally was not yet available on Sunday, but UAW members voted against the concessionary deal at most of Ford’s U.S. assembly plants leaving no doubt about the outcome.
The UAW represents about 41,000 U.S. factory workers at Ford and ratification of the proposed changes required the support of a majority of votes cast.
The UAW plans to release the results formally on Monday and President Ron Gettelfinger told reporters on Friday that he had no plans to seek a revote on the deal or more talks with Ford before 2011 payday advance loan. The current four-year deal expires in 2011.
The margin of defeat was substantial at some of Ford’s biggest assembly plants. Overall, seven of the 10 listed assembly plants voted down the contract, many overwhelmingly.
Workers in Kansas City, Missouri, where Ford builds the F-150 pickup truck and Escape SUV, voted 92 percent against the deal, while those at a truck plant near the automaker’s headquarters voted 93 percent to reject it.
At a local that represents two Kentucky assembly plants the vote was 84 percent against approving the tentative agreement that Ford and the UAW announced in mid October.
The tentative UAW agreement included a “no-strike” provision on wages and benefits for the next negotiations in 2011 that became a lightning rod for opposition.
Workers also objected to a blurring of job classifications for skilled workers that would increase Ford’s flexibility and reduce its costs, and to allowing Ford to increase hiring of entry level workers at $14 per hour for a period.
The UAW and Ford agreed on other cuts earlier in 2009 that the automaker believes will save it $500 million per year.
Ford’s deal with the Canadian union is the second cost-cutting agreement between the two sides in 18 months and includes cuts in benefits, a reduction in vacation and breaktimes and higher healthcare costs for workers.
Germany’s Lufthansa and the airline industry’s representative body provided a gloomy outlook for the sector as carriers around the world struggled to make a profit amid a fierce battle for business.
“Initial signs of a stabilization in volumes are far away from making up for the enormous and unrelenting pressure stemming from the massive fall in price levels,” the German flagship carrier said on Thursday.
Industry body IATA echoed Lufthansa’s warning, saying it was still too early to talk about a recovery. IATA has said it sees the world’s airlines losing $11 billion this year as consumers tightened their purse strings and companies cut travel budgets.
“The worst may be over in terms of the fall in demand, but yields continue to be a disaster and costs are rising,” IATA said.
Airlines around the world have been crippled by a toxic mixture of reduced spending on travel, a drop in global trade and rising oil prices. To cut their bloated cost bases, many have grounded planes and canceled or deferred plane orders.
Lufthansa has rescheduled some aircraft deliveries to save 1 billion euros ($1.5 billion) over the next three years. Plane makers Boeing and Airbus are headed for their worst annual order tally in at least 15 years.
Demand has suffered especially this year in the highly profitable business class segment as companies ask staff to book cheaper seats.
Finnish national carrier Finnair said earlier that it saw third-quarter sales fall sharply due to declining demand for business travel, adding it would continue to make losses during the rest of the year cash till payday advance.
Russian flagship carrier Aeroflot said its first-half net profit fell five-fold to $14.4 million as lower passenger numbers hit revenue, which fell 30 percent to $1.46 billion. The airline said lower jet fuel prices pushed up its margins on pretax earnings to 12 percent from 10 percent.
Aeroflot gave no outlook for the second half but analysts said they expected performance to improve only slightly as better sales from renewed passenger growth at the airline is offset by rising fuel costs.
Air cargo is in even worse shape than passenger demand as global trade remains at low levels, IATA said. Lufthansa, which operates Europe’s biggest air cargo fleet, said revenue in the sector was still falling steeply due to declining prices.
Lufthansa ended the session up 2.6 percent, while Finnair was down 1.3 percent and Aeroflot was up 0.26 percent.
CASH IS KING
“What we have seen so far does not indicate at all that the tough times for the airline industry will be over soon. The environment will remain challenging for some time and we still do not expect significant positive newsflow in the short term,” said MM Warburg analyst Michael Bahlmann.
Japan Airlines, Asia’s largest airline by revenue, is asking the government for a “huge” bailout as it heads for its fourth annual loss in five years, weighed down by $15 billion in debt and crippling pension costs.
OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah al-Badri said on Monday he knew of no plans to shift international oil trade away from its dollar denomination.
When asked if he was aware of any such moves, Badri said: “No, no, this is a 100 percent member country policy.”
Reiterating that oil trade denomination issues were the concerns of individual OPEC members rather than group policy, Badri also said dollar weakness was a concern for exporters.
“This is a member country policy but it is a concern for us,” Badri said.
American International Group is to sell its Taiwan life insurance unit for $2.15 billion, marking the largest disposal since a U.S. government bailout saved the insurer from collapse last year.
The sale of Nan Shan Life on Tuesday was another step in AIG’s effort to repay U.S. taxpayers after the government injected $80 billion into the company, but the insurer faces two more sales processes in Asia and others across the globe.
The sale is to two little-known buyers — a start-up financial group run by a former Citigroup banker and an obscure, publicly traded Hong Kong holding company with a market value of $111 million.
“It (deal) has to be approved by Taiwan’s investment commission first,” said Lee Chi-Chu, vice chairperson of the Financial Supervisory Commission, adding the regulator has not received an application from AIG. “We have told AIG that we do not welcome investors backed by China fund,” she said.
Taiwan’s business ties with China have picked up since President Ma Ying-jeou took office last year.
The agreement will likely to bring a sigh of relief to the AIG camp as, at one point, it looked liked the process would not succeed.
Primus Financial, the firm founded by Citi’s former Asia investment banking head, together with China Strategic Holdings, are to buy Nan Shan Life, ending a five-month auction that involved private equity firms and local financial groups.
Nan Shan, a top three Taiwan insurer, has assets of $46 savings account payday loans.4 billion and employs 36,000 sales agents in Taiwan and has a market share of 10 percent with its 4 million customers.
Primus will own around 20 percent of the business and China Strategic 80 percent, according to the companies.
The sale allows AIG to check one business off its list of units to sell in fund-raising efforts.
Hong Kong-based life insurer AIA is seeking a more-than $2 billion initial public offering and sources said American Life Insurance Co, which generates half its revenue in Japan, could fetch $5 billion in an IPO. [ID:nN08285471]
Both companies have also attracted acquisition interest, though nothing has materialized yet.
China Strategic, whose businesses include battery production and securities investments, had said it planned to raise about HK$7.8 billion ($1.0 billion) to fund a possible joint acquisition.
“The deal priced Nan Shan at about 1 time price to book, which is fair when you compare 1.9 times for Cathay Financial and Fubon Financial, and 1 time for smaller rival Shin Kong Financial,” said Dexter Hsu, an analyst at JP Morgan in Taiwan.
An executive from Deutsche Bank, which is Primus’s financial advisor, told Reuters that Primus would be using bank loans to pay up to 35 percent of the $2.15 billion.
The American whiskey market may be back on a roll. The industry which produces Jack Daniel’s and Jim Beam is seeing sales flatten in its domestic market but overseas business is booming and driving overall growth.
These two top brands already have half or more of their sales overseas and are dragging the rest toward export markets such as Western Europe and Australia where annual sales volume growth has averaged nearly 6 percent over the last 10 years.
Both compete head on with other Scotch, Irish and Canadian whiskies, but have done well as Brown-Forman Corp’s Jack Daniel’s became the world’s largest selling single whisky brand four years ago overtaking Diageo’s Johnnie Walker Red.
“Worldwide American whiskey has the opportunity to be the fastest growing in overseas markets. One of its advantages is its mixability compared to scotch whisky,” said Brown-Forman’s Chief Executive Officer Paul Varga.
In the economic downturn, Varga has seen some downtrading to cheaper brands, but whisky’s heritage and taste protects it from the worst of the downtrading seen in the vodka sector.
“The summer months have seen some easing of industry destocking while there is still some trading down,” he said.
The current downturn comes after a decade of growth which followed sliding volumes in the 1990s, and the domestic market has gained nearly 2 million 12-bottle cases since 2000 as whiskey like other spirits gained at the expense of beer.
The U.S. whiskey market was worth 28.3 million cases in 2008, over twice the size of the French cognac market at 12.4 million, but well below the scotch industry at around 100 million. This U.S. industry takes in two Tennessee whiskey distilleries and around 10 bourbon distilleries in Kentucky.
The market is dominated by Jack Daniel’s at 9.5 million cases and Jim Beam at 6 million, which make up 55 percent of U faxless pay day loans.S. industry volumes, and on the export front the former started selling more overseas two years ago and now sells 4.8 million cases outside the U.S. as it pushes into the big export markets of Britain, France, Japan and Australia.
“We are a near-10 million case brand, but could be a 17 million brand with more warehousing,” said master distiller Jeff Arnett at the Jack Daniel’s Lynchburg distillery in Tennessee.
North of Tennessee, Jim Beam is the world’s No 1 Kentucky bourbon, owned by Fortune Brands Inc, selling its 6 million case sales split equally between the U.S. and its big export markets especially Australia and Canada.
Around 12 years ago Jack Daniel’s first moved ahead of Jim Beam in volume terms, but Beam is fighting back as it is the first to move into flavored whiskeys, so popular in the vodka market, with its new Red Stag bourbon infused with black cherry.
This new product has sold 90,000 cases since its launch in June and is attracting new drinkers not seen as typical bourbon consumers. It is Fortune’s first major launch since Jim Beam Black Label over 10 years ago, and executives say if U.S. sales continue strong, it will look at the overseas market.
At Brown-Forman, Varga says Jack Daniel’s has not launched a new pure whiskey product for 12 years, and its flagship No 7 brand accounts for 97 percent of Jack Daniel’s volume.
In its last quarter, (May-July) the Jack Daniel’s family of brands, which includes strongly-growing ready to drink products, saw sales up 8 percent at constant currencies, and Varga says the sales mainly came from volume rather than higher prices.
In the 1980s, when stocks mostly surged, a few mutual fund managers became the equivalent of rock stars.
Tops among them: Peter Lynch, who racked up average annual returns of a remarkable 29 percent over a 13-year run.
Lynch did it at Fidelity Magellan, which continued to grow after he left in 1990. What once was the world’s largest fund swelled from $13 billion to nearly $110 billion a decade later. Assets peaked three years after the fund shut its doors to new investors because it became so big it was hard to manage effectively.
So where is Magellan now? It’s at $24 billion, and struggling to draw investors who fled in droves after years of mediocre performance. Magellan is still big by any standard, but it’s merely Fidelity’s fourth-largest stock fund.
"I don’t worry about too many assets now," says current manager Harry Lange, who took over in late 2005.
Magellan reopened to new investors early last year, but those who gave it a try were disappointed. The fund’s 2008 plunge? Forty-nine percent — steeper than the market’s nearly 39 percent decline. Blame bad bets on dogs like AIG and Wachovia — financial companies that Lange held on to for too long.
But Lange is turning things around, thanks to a sharp departure from his predecessor’s style. Where Robert Stansky was criticized for too closely mirroring broader markets, Lange has tilted the fund heavily in favor of growth stocks — companies whose comparatively steep share prices are backed by expectations that earnings will keep growing rapidly. He’s eased out of cheaper value stocks with steadier earnings, and takes a go-anywhere approach in keeping with the fund’s namesake 16th century explorer. Nearly one-quarter of Magellan’s holdings are international stocks.
Many of the same bets on riskier stocks that weighed Magellan down last year are lifting it in 2009. It’s up 35.6 percent, easily topping the nearly 17 percent gain for its benchmark, the Standard & Poor’s 500, and beating nearly nine of 10 of its peer funds.
So is it time to climb back aboard Magellan? Only if you’re willing to commit to a fund whose penchant for racy stocks makes it unusually volatile.
This year, the fund expanded its already substantial stake in recently hot technology stocks — its second- and third-largest holdings are specialty glass maker Corning Inc. (up 62 percent this year) and semiconductor maker Applied Material (up 34 percent). It’s also favored hard-hit fare like home builder Toll Brothers (down 8 no teletrack payday loans.8 percent) and big banks — Magellan’s most recent list of top 10 holdings included Bank of America, J.P. Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs.
Lange has turned Magellan into "a fund for optimists," according to Morningstar’s lead Fidelity analyst, Christopher Davis.
"If you look at its portfolio, it’s positioned for an economy that’s improving," Davis says, noting an absence of such defensive favorites as Wal-Mart and Procter & Gamble.
Lange says this year he’s slightly eased off his leaning toward growth stocks but still heavily favors the category. Though value stocks outperformed growth for an eight-year run after the dot-com bubble deflated early this decade, the pendulum swung back to growth last year — financial stocks that were hit so hard last year are mostly in the value category. Growth’s ranks include plenty of tech names that have recently fared well.
Lange still likes tech because of its big stake in emerging markets, where consumers in countries like China and India continue to drive growing demand for gadgets including mobile phones from makers like Nokia, Magellan’s top holding. He figures that trend will continue giving growth an edge over value. "I’m pretty confident that growth will be as strong in the next six to 12 months," Lange says. "There are a lot of people out there who think after that, it will be a sluggish recovery. I’m more bullish than that."
As for his fund’s choppiness, Lange acknowledges that with his growth-oriented style, "it’s pretty tough not to have volatility in these unusual times."
Even with this year’s strong results, winning back investors who fled Magellan has proved tough. Lange is still trying to shake the cumulative record of the last 10 years, a period when Magellan posted an average annual loss of 1.2 percent, slightly worse than most of its peers.
"This is not your grandfather’s Magellan fund," says Jim Lowell, a former Fidelity employee who runs an independent newsletter, FidelityInvestor.com, that evaluates the company’s funds.
Lowell currently recommends Magellan but says it’s no longer appropriate as a core retirement holding for investors who are looking for the broad exposure it once offered. Instead, Magellan is geared toward those seeking more growth exposure in an otherwise diversified portfolio.
Alvarez & Marsal, the U.S. turnaround firm overseeing the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, is in talks to help restructure firms humbled by the global financial crisis in Dubai, the Gulf’s trade and tourism hub, a top executive said on Monday.
Managing director Antonio Alvarez declined to identify the companies his firm was dealing with.
“The types of mandates we are seeking and discussing are the (likes) of Dubai World,” he said on the sidelines of a restructuring and refinance conference in Dubai.
Dubai World, a vast government holding company with $59 billion in liabilities, hired AlixPartners — the same firm advising on General Motors GM.UL bankruptcy — in June to help restructure the group.
Alvarez said the firm, which earlier this month signed on to advise clothing and accessories maker Liz Claiborne Inc, had been awarded “three mandates in (Middle East) region and we are negotiating some restructuring deals”.
Dubai has taken a hit in the wake of the global financial crisis and a severe property downturn. A debt implosion at a pair of Saudi firms has added to corporate woes and rising debt levels have boosted the risk of defaults.
“Non-performing debt is a big issue in the region, involving investment funds, investment banks, hospitality and real estate,” Alvarez said.
Dubai’s government and companies linked to it have refinanced about $9 billion of debt this year and have two major Islamic bonds maturing in the fourth quarter — developer Nakheel’s $3.52 billion sukuk on December 14 and a $1 billion Dubai Global sukuk on November 4.
Last week, Fitch Ratings said the rise in debt, as well as diminished financial resources, will make it harder for authorities in the United Arab Emirates to provide support for UAE banks.
The UAE government and central bank have already taken a number of steps to help the country’s banks weather the financial crisis, including pouring $6.8 billion into bank deposits last October. (Reporting by Nicolas Parasie)
Thailand’s economy won’t shrink as much as earlier forecast this year, the Finance Ministry said, as government spending and improving export orders spur a recovery from recession.
Gross domestic product may shrink 3 percent this year before expanding 2.5 percent to 4.1 percent in 2010, Somchai Sujjapongse, director-general of the ministry’s fiscal policy office, said in Bangkok today. The ministry had predicted a 2009 contraction of 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent in June.
Thailand’s exports fell the least in six months in August, and the contraction in manufacturing has eased as the slump in Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy abates. The economy will recover in the second half of this year and resume growth in the fourth quarter, Somchai said.
“The recovery will be obvious in the fourth quarter and the growth momentum will continue to next year, driven by government spending and a recovery in private spending,” Somchai said. “Exports will also improve in line with the recovering economies of our trading partners.”
The $261 billion economy shrank 4.9 percent last quarter from a year earlier, less than a 7.1 percent contraction the previous three months.
The government implemented a 116.7 billion-baht ($3.5 billion) stimulus package in the first half of 2009 and plans to spend 1.06 trillion baht on transportation, logistics, health and education projects over three years to help revive the economy.
Interest Rate
Thailand’s central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.25 percent for a third straight meeting last month after four cuts from December to April. Bank of Thailand Governor Tarisa Watanagase said Sept. 25 the recovery from the nation’s first recession in a decade will be “gradual.”
The interest rate will stay at the current level until the end of this year as inflation isn’t a problem, said Ekniti Nitithanprapas from the finance ministry’s fiscal policy office. Borrowing costs may rise next year as consumer prices increase on higher oil costs, he said.
The finance ministry expects consumer prices to climb by 2 percent to 3 percent next year, after declining 0.8 percent in 2009, it said in a statement.
The ministry said it expects Thailand’s currency to range from 33.5 to 34.5 per dollar in 2010, from 34.5 this year. The benchmark interest rate will range from 1.25 percent to 1.75 percent in 2010, from 1.25 percent this year, it added.
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